Area Forecast Discussions
For those who want a behind-the-scenes look at how certain - or uncertain - the forecast really is, there's the Area Forecast Discussion, issued at least twice a day (around 3:00 P.M. & 3:00 A.M.) by every NWS forecast office. The discussions are usually updated more frequently when severe weather of any type is expected. The most recent discussion from any office in the Southeast Kansas area can be accessed using the map below this box. (Click on the city in which you live, on the map below)
Originally intended for internal use among nearby forecast offices, the Area Forecast Discussion has become popular with weather enthusiasts everywhere. Prepared by the meteorologist on duty, the discussion usually starts with a brief analysis of current conditions, followed by an in-depth look at the various models and the reasoning behind his or her forecast.
The one obstacle to understanding the discussions, aside from the fact that they can get a bit technical, is that the forecasters sometimes use their own version of shorthand.